Published & Updated as on - 2010-02-20
WASHINGTON (Reuters)
- U.S. housing starts unexpectedly fell last month as unusually cold
weather hampered construction, but a jump in building permits to a 14-month
high indicated the housing market recovery was intact.
The
Commerce Department said on Wednesday construction of new housing fell 4
percent in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 557,000 units as
construction of single-family homes slipped.
But building
permits -- which give a sense of future home construction -- soared 10.9
percent to 653,000 units last month, the highest level since October 2008 and
above market expectations for 590,000 units.
"At first
glance housing starts were disappointing. But, they were offset by a huge jump
in building permits. The data is suggestive of a continued gain in housing
construction over the next several months," said Michelle Meyer, economist
at Barclays Capital in New York.
Analysts polled by Reuters
had expected housing starts to rise to 580,000 units.
November's
housing starts were revised to 580,000 units from the previously reported
574,000 units.
A recovery in the housing market, whose
collapse triggered the most brutal U.S. recession since the Great Depression of
the 1930s, is considered key to a healing of the U.S. economy.
A
separate report from the Labor Department showed producer prices rose 0.2
percent in December as food prices surged, and recorded their largest
year-on-year gain in 14 months.
But core prices, which
exclude food and energy, were unchanged on the month and up just 0.9 percent on
the year, showing inflation pressures remained tame.
U.S.
financial markets largely ignored the data. Stocks suffered their worst slide
of 2010 as a decision by China to further tighten lending raised worries about
a global economic recovery.
Declining stocks and concerns
over Greece's ability to finance its budget deficit lifted prices for U.S.
government debt, sending benchmark yields to one-month lows. The U.S. dollar
hit a five-month high against the euro.
Housing is on the
mend after a three-year slump, thanks to a popular tax credit for first-time
buyers and low mortgage rates. New home construction contributed to economic
growth in the third quarter of 2009 for the first time since 2005.
But
data such as pending home sales and homebuilder sentiment have hinted at
potential weakness in the sector.
A slip back in the housing
recovery could complicate matters for President Barack Obama, whose policy
agenda -- including boosting economic growth and job creation -- was dealt a
blow by his Democratic Party's loss of a key Senate seat on Tuesday.
SINGLE-FAMILY
STARTS FALL
For the 2009 full year, overall
new home construction activity dropped a record 38.8 percent to an all-time low
of 553,000 units, the Commerce Department said.
Starts for
single-family homes fell 6.9 percent last month to an annual rate of 456,000
units after rising 4.0 percent in November. Groundbreaking for the volatile
multifamily segment rose 12.2 percent to a 101,000 unit annual pace, after surging
69.8 percent in November.
While bad weather was probably
largely to blame for the drop in groundbreaking activity last month, the
housing market recovery is likely to slow when the tax credit expires later
this year, analysts said.
"There is still reason to be
cautious. By the middle of this year the homebuyer tax credit will expire and
mortgage rates will probably rise, developments that will exert a drag on
sales," said Abiel Reinhart, an economist at JPMorgan in New York.
Pressure
could also come from steps by the Federal Housing Administration to increase
borrowing costs for homeowners getting loans backed by the government in a bid
to shore up the agency's finances and avoid a taxpayer bailout.
Mortgage
rates have been held low by the Federal Reserve's program to buy
mortgage-related securities in the market. The U.S. central bank is scheduled
to end the program in March.
The Mortgage Bankers
Association on Wednesday reported that demand for U.S. home loans rose last
week for the third straight week as a drop in mortgage rates to a one-month low
stoked applications for refinancing.
Muted inflation
pressures and the still unsettled housing market should allow the Fed to honor
its pledge to keep overnight lending rates low for "an extended
period." Officials next meet on January 26-27 to deliberate on monetary
policy.
"We expect the combination of a weak labor
market and a tepid recovery to keep a lid on producer pricing pressures,"
said Ian Pollick, economics strategist at TD Securities in Toronto.
(Additional
reporting by Lisa Lambert in Washington, Lynn Adler and Julie Haviv in New
York; Editing by Leslie Adler)
Source: 21 Jan 2010
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